Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.493401 0.543554 0.598250 0.662613 0.736643 0.819563 0.920075
2025-06-01 0.404757 0.472427 0.552331 0.654852 0.784692 0.946152 1.166193
2025-06-08 0.351620 0.426400 0.519555 0.646530 0.819013 1.051267 1.398974
2025-06-15 0.325186 0.406921 0.513383 0.666209 0.887067 1.206963 1.731036
2025-06-22 0.292619 0.374490 0.484627 0.648903 0.897739 1.279343 1.952152
2025-06-29 0.270741 0.353544 0.468231 0.645442 0.926015 1.380708 2.243548
2025-07-06 0.246116 0.326201 0.439556 0.619439 0.914096 1.412807 2.417424
2025-07-13 0.237065 0.319939 0.440401 0.638000 0.975917 1.580946 2.901251
2025-07-20 0.228755 0.313849 0.440592 0.655010 1.037004 1.759518 3.469337
2025-07-27 0.219136 0.304908 0.435369 0.662095 1.080957 1.913735 4.041246
2025-08-03 0.204806 0.287715 0.415644 0.642157 1.071448 1.956053 4.347666
2025-08-10 0.191631 0.271455 0.396178 0.620662 1.055874 1.982127 4.621250
2025-08-17 0.181382 0.259513 0.383444 0.610990 1.064616 2.069837 5.133823
2025-08-24 0.172463 0.249206 0.372779 0.604261 1.079043 2.176221 5.771713
2025-08-31 0.164237 0.239485 0.362343 0.596816 1.090803 2.279310 6.464791
2025-09-07 0.160927 0.237538 0.364984 0.614481 1.159988 2.549496 7.991193
2025-09-14 0.152601 0.226766 0.351424 0.598950 1.151625 2.606524 8.679713
2025-09-21 0.146835 0.219963 0.344419 0.595842 1.171864 2.751865 9.913937
2025-09-28 0.138535 0.208438 0.328213 0.572473 1.140095 2.733339 10.307536
2025-10-05 0.136546 0.207571 0.331235 0.589157 1.209429 3.051739 12.941754
2025-10-12 0.134437 0.206357 0.333496 0.604432 1.278082 3.395072 16.318039
2025-10-19 0.131284 0.203133 0.331747 0.610790 1.324432 3.679459 19.854035
2025-10-26 0.125343 0.194687 0.319571 0.592892 1.301628 3.698179 21.197897